Lead levels in soil samples in Chicago, generated from the community lead portal. Urban households are likely to have multiple sources of lead exposure, making the screening level 100 ppm. Note how few samples here are under that level (darkest blue dots). Credit: AGU

Roughly one in four U.S. households have soil exceeding the new U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's lead screening levels of 200 parts per million (ppm), halved from the previous level of 400 ppm, a new study found. For households with exposure from multiple sources, the EPA lowered the guidance to 100 ppm; nearly 40% of households exceed that level, the study also found.

"I was shocked at how many households were above the new 200 ppm guideline," said Gabriel Filippelli, a biochemist at Indiana University who led the new study. "I assumed it was going to be a more modest number. And results for the 100 ppm guideline are even worse."

Remediating the roughly 29 million affected households using traditional "dig and dump" soil removal methods could cost upward of $1 trillion, the study calculated. The study is published in GeoHealth. Filippelli is the former editor-in-chief of GeoHealth.

National lead problem 'nowhere near over'

Lead is a heavy metal that can accumulate in the human body, with toxic effects. In children, exposure to lead is associated with lower educational outcomes. In the United States, the burden of has historically fallen on and because of redlining and other discriminatory practices. Lead pollution can come from aging , old paint, and remnant gasoline and , but today, most lead exposure comes from contaminated soils and dust, even after lead-containing infrastructure is removed.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention first set a limit on the concentration of lead in blood in 1991 at 10 micrograms per deciliter, and it lowered that limit several times until reaching the current limit of 3.5 micrograms per deciliter. But the EPA's soil lead screening level remained unchanged for more than 30 years until the January announcement. Some states had established their own lower guidelines; California has the lowest screening level, at 80 ppm.

The lag is likely due to "the immensity and ubiquity of the problem," the study authors wrote.

"The scale is astounding, and the nation's lead and remediation efforts just became substantially more complicated." That's because once the EPA lowers a screening limit, they need to tell people what to do if their soils exceed it.

When the EPA lowered the screening level, Filippelli and his co-authors decided to make use of the database of 15,595 residential soil samples from the contiguous United States that they'd collected over the years to find out how many exceeded the new guideline.

Soil lead levels in New Orleans. Credit: AGU

Household health hazard

About 25% of the residential soil samples, collected from yards, gardens, alleys, and other residential spots, exceeded the new 200 ppm level, the study found. (Only 12% of samples had exceeded the older, 400 ppm level.) Extrapolating across the country, that equates to roughly 29 million households.

The EPA issued separate guidance for households with multiple sources of exposure, such as both lead-contaminated soil and lead pipes, setting the level in those situations at 100 ppm. In practice, that's most urban households, Filippelli said. Forty percent of households exceed that limit, increasing the number of affected households to nearly 50 million, the study found.

More information: Gabriel M. Filippelli et al, One in Four US Households Likely Exceed New Soil Lead Guidance Levels, GeoHealth (2024). DOI: 10.1029/2024GH001045